Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia
Melbourne TigersHOME · -
73 : 762016.04.24 · 종료
Southern SabresAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.9%
VALUE EDGE+54.9%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEB
Melbourne TigersAnalysis MetricsSouthern Sabres
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.17
167.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
177.50
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation4.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers
L · 73-63L · 67-79L · 101-53W · 70-68L · 85-62
Southern Sabres
W · 91-69W · 87-90L · 83-73L · 81-53L · 74-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.05.26 | Southern Sabres | 87 : 91 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2018.05.06 | Melbourne Tigers | 83 : 78 | Southern Sabres |
| 2016.04.24 | Melbourne Tigers | 73 : 76 | Southern Sabres |