Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

SEABL Australia

KilsythHOME · -

73 : 632016.04.23 · 종료

Melbourne TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY22.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +77.5%

VALUE EDGE+77.5%

FAIR ODDS1.29

GRADEB

KilsythAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-4.00 Point MarginHigher is better +9.25

180.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.75

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

6.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

77.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

22.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kilsyth

W · 86-74L · 93-79W · 84-72L · 87-60W · 91-65

Melbourne Tigers

L · 67-79L · 101-53W · 70-68L · 85-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.23	Kilsyth	83 : 95	Melbourne Tigers
2026.04.26	Melbourne Tigers	98 : 79	Kilsyth
2024.06.22	Kilsyth	77 : 44	Melbourne Tigers
2023.07.07	Melbourne Tigers	87 : 91	Kilsyth
2018.04.21	Kilsyth	101 : 46	Melbourne Tigers
2016.04.23	Kilsyth	73 : 63	Melbourne Tigers