Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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SEABL Australia

DandenongHOME · -

80 : 932016.04.23 · 종료

Mt GambierAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY66.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 68.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +66.6%

VALUE EDGE+66.6%

FAIR ODDS1.50

GRADEA

DandenongAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-3.25 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.42

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.9 / 15

Prediction separation14.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

33.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

66.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Dandenong

W · 93-79L · 76-77L · 75-86L · 97-80W · 91-85

Mt Gambier

W · 74-97L · 84-94W · 95-86W · 81-71W · 76-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.27	Dandenong	100 : 98	Mt Gambier
2024.06.30	Dandenong	72 : 86	Mt Gambier
2023.07.02	Mt Gambier	90 : 71	Dandenong
2018.06.01	Mt Gambier	64 : 80	Dandenong
2016.04.23	Dandenong	80 : 93	Mt Gambier
2015.05.02	Dandenong	93 : 88	Mt Gambier