Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

SEABL Australia

DandenongHOME · -

93 : 792016.04.16 · 종료

KilsythAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100

AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.1%

VALUE EDGE+61.1%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADEA

DandenongAnalysis MetricsKilsyth

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-3.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.00

184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 180.00

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage20.0 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.1 / 15

Prediction separation9.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Dandenong

L · 76-77L · 75-86L · 97-80W · 91-85W · 74-77

Kilsyth

W · 84-72L · 87-60W · 91-65L · 86-69L · 83-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.25	Dandenong	99 : 92	Kilsyth
2026.05.09	Dandenong	81 : 96	Kilsyth
2024.05.04	Dandenong	100 : 90	Kilsyth
2023.05.27	Dandenong	107 : 73	Kilsyth
2023.04.06	Kilsyth	93 : 78	Dandenong
2018.04.28	Kilsyth	89 : 75	Dandenong
2016.07.16	Kilsyth	75 : 82	Dandenong
2016.04.16	Dandenong	93 : 79	Kilsyth
2015.04.11	Dandenong	80 : 72	Kilsyth