Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia
BallaratHOME · -
87 : 902016.04.16 · 종료
Southern SabresAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.7%
VALUE EDGE+64.7%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
BallaratAnalysis MetricsSouthern Sabres
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.17
203.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
177.50
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation12.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat
W · 100-105W · 79-97L · 68-93L · 91-85W · 92-76
Southern Sabres
L · 83-73L · 81-53L · 74-77L · 91-71L · 77-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.06.16 | Southern Sabres | 102 : 83 | Ballarat |
| 2018.05.12 | Ballarat | 91 : 80 | Southern Sabres |
| 2016.07.01 | Southern Sabres | 100 : 93 | Ballarat |
| 2016.04.16 | Ballarat | 87 : 90 | Southern Sabres |
| 2015.06.20 | Southern Sabres | 79 : 90 | Ballarat |