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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SEABL Australia
AlburyHOME · -
100 : 1012016.04.16 · 종료
NW TasmaniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.1%
VALUE EDGE+69.1%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
AlburyAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better -5.08
176.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.75
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 44.4%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Albury
W · 101-53L · 81-76W · 75-86L · 76-87W · 84-78
NW Tasmania
L · 89-73W · 83-73L · 83-73W · 86-69W · 92-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2018.04.21Albury89 : 71NW Tasmania
2016.04.16Albury100 : 101NW Tasmania
2015.06.20NW Tasmania86 : 78Albury