Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia
Mt GambierHOME · -
84 : 942016.04.15 · 종료
Hobart ChargersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.5%
VALUE EDGE+77.5%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.50
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.33
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt Gambier
W · 95-86W · 81-71W · 76-87W · 79-65W · 83-66
Hobart Chargers
W · 89-73W · 81-53W · 84-76L · 53-63L · 69-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.08 | Mt Gambier | 101 : 100 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2024.06.21 | Mt Gambier | 96 : 70 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2023.07.07 | Hobart Chargers | 102 : 87 | Mt Gambier |
| 2018.05.18 | Hobart Chargers | 108 : 106 | Mt Gambier |
| 2016.09.02 | Mt Gambier | 97 : 72 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2016.08.19 | Hobart Chargers | 65 : 79 | Mt Gambier |
| 2016.06.17 | Hobart Chargers | 86 : 83 | Mt Gambier |
| 2016.04.15 | Mt Gambier | 84 : 94 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2015.07.24 | Hobart Chargers | 51 : 86 | Mt Gambier |
| 2015.04.24 | Mt Gambier | 77 : 60 | Hobart Chargers |