Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

SEABL Australia

CanberraHOME · -

100 : 1052016.04.09 · 종료

BallaratAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY59.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +59.2%

VALUE EDGE+59.2%

FAIR ODDS1.69

GRADEA

CanberraAnalysis MetricsBallarat

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-2.50 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

157.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 203.58

37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.9 / 15

Prediction separation7.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

40.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

59.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Canberra

L · 70-68L · 81-71L · 76-78L · 102-80L · 107-68

Ballarat

W · 79-97L · 68-93L · 91-85W · 92-76W · 80-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2018.06.22	Canberra	71 : 102	Ballarat
2016.08.14	Ballarat	105 : 86	Canberra
2016.04.09	Canberra	100 : 105	Ballarat
2015.07.18	Canberra	71 : 78	Ballarat
2015.05.09	Ballarat	91 : 83	Canberra