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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SEABL Australia
AlburyHOME · -
101 : 532016.04.09 · 종료
Melbourne TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 83.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.3%
VALUE EDGE+81.3%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEB
AlburyAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better +9.25
176.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.75
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Albury
L · 81-76W · 75-86L · 76-87W · 84-78W · 88-83
Melbourne Tigers
W · 70-68L · 85-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2018.04.14Melbourne Tigers79 : 93Albury
2016.04.09Albury101 : 53Melbourne Tigers