Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia
GeelongHOME · -
87 : 602016.04.08 · 종료
KilsythAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.6%
VALUE EDGE+71.6%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
GeelongAnalysis MetricsKilsyth
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
W · 73-55L · 84-78W · 97-80L · 88-83W · 76-78
Kilsyth
W · 91-65L · 86-69L · 83-65W · 78-89W · 53-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.28 | Geelong | 62 : 74 | Kilsyth |
| 2024.05.05 | Kilsyth | 83 : 69 | Geelong |
| 2023.04.01 | Kilsyth | 97 : 95 | Geelong |
| 2018.07.07 | Geelong | 78 : 95 | Kilsyth |
| 2016.06.04 | Kilsyth | 70 : 91 | Geelong |
| 2016.04.08 | Geelong | 87 : 60 | Kilsyth |
| 2015.08.14 | Geelong | 83 : 65 | Kilsyth |
| 2015.05.02 | Kilsyth | 81 : 90 | Geelong |