Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia
Melbourne TigersHOME · -
70 : 682016.04.02 · 종료
CanberraAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.2%
VALUE EDGE+68.2%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Melbourne TigersAnalysis MetricsCanberra
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.50
167.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.17
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers
L · 85-62
Canberra
L · 81-71L · 76-78L · 102-80L · 107-68L · 88-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.04.29 | Melbourne Tigers | 85 : 65 | Canberra |
| 2016.06.04 | Canberra | 86 : 76 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2016.04.02 | Melbourne Tigers | 70 : 68 | Canberra |