Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
83 : 732016.04.02 · 종료
Southern SabresAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.2%
VALUE EDGE+76.2%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEB
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsSouthern Sabres
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.17
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
177.50
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
L · 83-73W · 86-69W · 92-68L · 78-89W · 80-92
Southern Sabres
L · 81-53L · 74-77L · 91-71L · 77-92L · 74-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.06.23 | Southern Sabres | 97 : 92 | NW Tasmania |
| 2018.04.27 | NW Tasmania | 93 : 78 | Southern Sabres |
| 2016.07.31 | Southern Sabres | 101 : 89 | NW Tasmania |
| 2016.04.02 | NW Tasmania | 83 : 73 | Southern Sabres |
| 2015.06.14 | Southern Sabres | 109 : 82 | NW Tasmania |
| 2015.04.11 | NW Tasmania | 72 : 76 | Southern Sabres |