Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia
GeelongHOME · -
73 : 552016.04.01 · 종료
Brisbane SpartansAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.0%
VALUE EDGE+77.0%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEB
GeelongAnalysis MetricsBrisbane Spartans
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.75
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
L · 84-78W · 97-80L · 88-83W · 76-78W · 83-65
Brisbane Spartans
L · 78-71L · 95-85W · 91-74W · 102-80W · 89-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.01 | Geelong | 73 : 55 | Brisbane Spartans |
| 2015.07.18 | Brisbane Spartans | 77 : 84 | Geelong |