경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Emperor Cup Japan · Round of 32

Machida ZelviaHOME · 1.35

2 : 12026.09.23 · 종료

Tochigi CityAWAY · 6.80

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.2%

DRAW32.8%

AWAY20.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 39.3% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +14.1%

VALUE EDGE+14.1%

FAIR ODDS3.05

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 76/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +16.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +33.3%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -3.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

MARKET HOME +54.4%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Machida Zelvia분석 지표Tochigi City

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 57.1%

3.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지17.7 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.1 / 15

예측 분리도6.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME67.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승78.1%표본 32경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.4%현재 이동 -2.2%

OPEN → NOW1.38 → 1.35배당 업데이트 2026-09-23 23:52:16

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

47.2%

DRAW

32.8%

AWAY

20.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Machida Zelvia

L · 2-4W · 2-0D · 1-1W · 1-3W · 2-1

Tochigi City

L · 1-3D · 0-0W · 1-4W · 0-2L · 1-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.37

→

CURRENT1.35

-1.77%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.64

→

CURRENT4.85

+4.48%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN6.30

→

CURRENT6.61

+4.96%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-23 11:32:10	1.37	4.64	6.30
2026-09-23 11:42:08	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 11:52:10	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 12:02:11	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 12:12:08	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 12:22:10	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 12:32:09	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 12:42:09	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 12:52:11	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 13:02:10	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 13:12:08	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 13:22:10	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 13:32:10	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 13:42:08	1.36	4.74	6.30
2026-09-23 13:42:09	1.39	4.65	6.36
2026-09-23 13:52:09	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 14:02:08	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 14:12:08	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 14:22:10	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 14:32:08	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 14:42:09	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 14:52:10	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 15:02:10	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 15:12:09	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 15:22:11	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 15:32:09	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 15:42:09	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 15:52:10	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 16:02:09	1.36	4.72	6.32
2026-09-23 16:12:09	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 16:22:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 16:32:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 16:42:08	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 16:52:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 17:02:08	1.35	4.94	6.73
2026-09-23 17:02:09	1.35	4.73	6.45
2026-09-23 17:12:08	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 17:22:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 17:32:09	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 17:42:08	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 17:52:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 18:02:08	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 18:12:08	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 18:22:09	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 18:32:09	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 18:42:09	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 18:52:12	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 19:02:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 19:12:08	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 19:22:08	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 19:32:15	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 19:42:13	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 19:52:13	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 20:02:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 20:12:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 20:22:13	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 20:32:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 20:42:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 20:52:16	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 21:02:15	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 21:12:09	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 21:22:11	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 21:32:15	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 21:42:09	1.33	5.00	6.00
2026-09-23 21:42:10	1.35	4.83	6.71
2026-09-23 21:52:12	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 22:02:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 22:12:11	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 22:22:13	1.34	4.88	6.56
2026-09-23 22:22:14	1.36	4.78	6.73
2026-09-23 22:32:17	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 22:42:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 22:52:13	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 23:02:12	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 23:12:10	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 23:22:14	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 23:32:26	1.35	4.85	6.61
2026-09-23 23:42:09	1.34	4.95	6.55
2026-09-23 23:42:10	1.35	4.81	6.63
2026-09-23 23:52:16	1.35	4.85	6.61

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.23	Machida Zelvia	2 : 1	Tochigi City