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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia · Quarter-finals
SKA St. PetersburgHOME · -
1 : 02014.03.21 · 종료
Lokomotiv YaroslavlAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 55.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.3%
VALUE EDGE+59.3%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
SKA St. PetersburgAnalysis MetricsLokomotiv Yaroslavl
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-0.67 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +1.75
2.92 Average goals concededLower is better 1.33
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
9.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation8.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
SKA St. Petersburg
W · 5-1W · 1-0L · 1-2W · 4-0W · 3-2
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
W · 1-5W · 6-0W · 2-1L · 2-1W · 4-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.10.28Lokomotiv Yaroslavl3 : 2SKA St. Petersburg
2014.09.05SKA St. Petersburg5 : 3Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
2014.03.29Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2 : 0SKA St. Petersburg
2014.03.27SKA St. Petersburg2 : 3Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
2014.03.25Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1 : 6SKA St. Petersburg
2014.03.23Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4 : 1SKA St. Petersburg
2014.03.21SKA St. Petersburg1 : 0Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
2013.11.19SKA St. Petersburg1 : 2Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
2013.11.15Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2 : 0SKA St. Petersburg
2013.01.04SKA St. Petersburg4 : 0Lokomotiv Yaroslavl