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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia · Quarter-finals
CherepovetsHOME · -
3 : 22014.03.19 · 종료
PodolskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 70.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.4%
VALUE EDGE+67.4%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
CherepovetsAnalysis MetricsPodolsk
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+0.08 Goal DifferentialHigher is better -0.67
2.42 Average goals concededLower is better 3.00
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cherepovets
W · 4-5W · 2-4L · 1-2W · 2-1W · 2-1
Podolsk
L · 4-5L · 2-4L · 3-2L · 5-1L · 3-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.02.22Podolsk1 : 4Cherepovets
2014.12.13Cherepovets2 : 4Podolsk
2014.11.29Podolsk2 : 5Cherepovets
2014.10.10Cherepovets3 : 4Podolsk
2014.03.19Cherepovets3 : 2Podolsk
2014.03.14Podolsk4 : 5Cherepovets
2014.03.13Podolsk2 : 4Cherepovets
2014.01.19Cherepovets7 : 3Podolsk
2013.10.04Podolsk3 : 1Cherepovets
2012.12.21Podolsk0 : 1Cherepovets