Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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SEABL Australia · SEABL - Final

AlburyHOME · -

76 : 872015.09.12 · 종료

Mt GambierAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY59.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +59.5%

VALUE EDGE+59.5%

FAIR ODDS1.68

GRADEA

AlburyAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

176.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.42

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.5 / 15

Prediction separation8.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

40.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

59.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Albury

W · 84-78W · 88-83W · 91-71W · 86-70W · 74-83

Mt Gambier

W · 79-65W · 83-66W · 59-66L · 68-69W · 83-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2018.04.13	Mt Gambier	127 : 94	Albury
2016.07.08	Mt Gambier	81 : 80	Albury
2016.06.25	Albury	74 : 100	Mt Gambier
2015.09.12	Albury	76 : 87	Mt Gambier