Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · SEABL - Semi-finals
AlburyHOME · -
84 : 782015.09.05 · 종료
GeelongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.6%
VALUE EDGE+65.6%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEA
AlburyAnalysis MetricsGeelong
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
176.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.67
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation13.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Albury
W · 88-83W · 91-71W · 86-70W · 74-83W · 88-96
Geelong
W · 97-80L · 88-83W · 76-78W · 83-65W · 68-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.05.26 | Albury | 76 : 93 | Geelong |
| 2016.08.20 | Geelong | 82 : 84 | Albury |
| 2016.05.21 | Geelong | 94 : 73 | Albury |
| 2016.05.07 | Albury | 94 : 97 | Geelong |
| 2015.09.05 | Albury | 84 : 78 | Geelong |
| 2015.08.22 | Albury | 88 : 83 | Geelong |
| 2015.06.13 | Albury | 85 : 74 | Geelong |
| 2015.04.25 | Geelong | 96 : 87 | Albury |