Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · SEABL - Semi-finals
Mt GambierHOME · -
79 : 652015.09.04 · 종료
BendigoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.5%
VALUE EDGE+79.5%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsBendigo
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.92
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.08
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt Gambier
W · 83-66W · 59-66L · 68-69W · 83-80W · 51-86
Bendigo
W · 83-73L · 83-66W · 95-85W · 78-90W · 69-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.06.22 | Bendigo | 68 : 53 | Mt Gambier |
| 2018.04.27 | Mt Gambier | 75 : 89 | Bendigo |
| 2016.09.10 | Bendigo | 79 : 61 | Mt Gambier |
| 2016.05.29 | Bendigo | 69 : 63 | Mt Gambier |
| 2016.04.08 | Mt Gambier | 95 : 86 | Bendigo |
| 2015.09.04 | Mt Gambier | 79 : 65 | Bendigo |
| 2015.08.21 | Mt Gambier | 83 : 66 | Bendigo |
| 2015.06.26 | Mt Gambier | 86 : 72 | Bendigo |
| 2015.05.23 | Bendigo | 86 : 87 | Mt Gambier |