Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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SEABL Australia · SEABL - Quarter-finals

BendigoHOME · -

83 : 732015.08.29 · 종료

NW TasmaniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY37.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +62.8%

VALUE EDGE+62.8%

FAIR ODDS1.59

GRADEA

BendigoAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-1.92 Point MarginHigher is better -5.08

159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.75

71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 44.4%

8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation11.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

62.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

37.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Bendigo

L · 83-66W · 95-85W · 78-90W · 69-57W · 88-79

NW Tasmania

W · 86-69W · 92-68L · 78-89W · 80-92L · 83-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2018.07.07	Bendigo	79 : 73	NW Tasmania
2016.07.16	NW Tasmania	95 : 100	Bendigo
2016.04.17	Bendigo	94 : 80	NW Tasmania
2015.08.29	Bendigo	83 : 73	NW Tasmania
2015.07.18	NW Tasmania	115 : 73	Bendigo
2015.07.10	Bendigo	75 : 85	NW Tasmania