Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 18
NunawadingHOME · -
59 : 662015.08.16 · 종료
Mt GambierAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+68.4%
VALUE EDGE+68.4%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
NunawadingAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+6.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
194.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
7.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nunawading
L · 92-76L · 80-92W · 107-68L · 85-114W · 79-75
Mt Gambier
L · 68-69W · 83-80W · 51-86W · 101-85W · 109-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.28 | Nunawading | 110 : 100 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.06.29 | Nunawading | 80 : 97 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.05.10 | Mt Gambier | 96 : 78 | Nunawading |
| 2023.04.02 | Nunawading | 94 : 104 | Mt Gambier |
| 2018.06.28 | Mt Gambier | 84 : 71 | Nunawading |
| 2016.05.14 | Nunawading | 84 : 78 | Mt Gambier |
| 2015.08.16 | Nunawading | 59 : 66 | Mt Gambier |
| 2015.04.10 | Mt Gambier | 74 : 88 | Nunawading |