Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 18
GeelongHOME · -
83 : 652015.08.14 · 종료
KilsythAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.8%
VALUE EDGE+63.8%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
GeelongAnalysis MetricsKilsyth
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
5.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation11.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
W · 68-69W · 89-72L · 78-80W · 77-84L · 69-76
Kilsyth
W · 78-89W · 53-63L · 89-71L · 84-78W · 67-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.28 | Geelong | 62 : 74 | Kilsyth |
| 2024.05.05 | Kilsyth | 83 : 69 | Geelong |
| 2023.04.01 | Kilsyth | 97 : 95 | Geelong |
| 2018.07.07 | Geelong | 78 : 95 | Kilsyth |
| 2016.06.04 | Kilsyth | 70 : 91 | Geelong |
| 2016.04.08 | Geelong | 87 : 60 | Kilsyth |
| 2015.08.14 | Geelong | 83 : 65 | Kilsyth |
| 2015.05.02 | Kilsyth | 81 : 90 | Geelong |