Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

SEABL Australia · 17

NW TasmaniaHOME · -

78 : 892015.08.08 · 종료

KilsythAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY29.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100

AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +71.0%

VALUE EDGE+71.0%

FAIR ODDS1.41

GRADEA

NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsKilsyth

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-5.08 Point MarginHigher is better -4.00

169.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 180.00

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

71.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

29.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

NW Tasmania

W · 80-92L · 83-80W · 115-73L · 94-83W · 75-85

Kilsyth

W · 53-63L · 89-71L · 84-78W · 67-60W · 66-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.05.19	Kilsyth	80 : 81	NW Tasmania
2023.06.18	Kilsyth	93 : 68	NW Tasmania
2018.04.07	NW Tasmania	72 : 70	Kilsyth
2016.07.09	NW Tasmania	85 : 78	Kilsyth
2016.06.26	Kilsyth	80 : 87	NW Tasmania
2015.08.22	NW Tasmania	86 : 69	Kilsyth
2015.08.08	NW Tasmania	78 : 89	Kilsyth
2015.05.24	Kilsyth	87 : 62	NW Tasmania