Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 16
DandenongHOME · -
80 : 972015.08.02 · 종료
BallaratAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.9%
VALUE EDGE+55.9%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADES
DandenongAnalysis MetricsBallarat
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
203.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation5.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dandenong
W · 78-80W · 85-114W · 94-83W · 80-76W · 74-76
Ballarat
W · 101-84W · 73-77L · 88-96W · 71-78L · 77-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.05 | Dandenong | 111 : 81 | Ballarat |
| 2024.07.27 | Ballarat | 91 : 78 | Dandenong |
| 2024.06.15 | Ballarat | 84 : 86 | Dandenong |
| 2023.04.29 | Ballarat | 97 : 88 | Dandenong |
| 2018.04.06 | Ballarat | 94 : 82 | Dandenong |
| 2016.05.14 | Ballarat | 94 : 92 | Dandenong |
| 2015.08.22 | Dandenong | 91 : 85 | Ballarat |
| 2015.08.02 | Dandenong | 80 : 97 | Ballarat |
| 2015.05.23 | Ballarat | 90 : 101 | Dandenong |