Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 15
GeelongHOME · -
78 : 802015.07.25 · 종료
DandenongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.5%
VALUE EDGE+55.5%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
GeelongAnalysis MetricsDandenong
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.8 / 15
Prediction separation4.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
W · 77-84L · 69-76W · 77-93W · 86-76W · 94-63
Dandenong
W · 85-114W · 94-83W · 80-76W · 74-76L · 85-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.31 | Dandenong | 97 : 88 | Geelong |
| 2024.07.06 | Geelong | 78 : 65 | Dandenong |
| 2024.04.27 | Dandenong | 78 : 74 | Geelong |
| 2023.06.17 | Geelong | 89 : 73 | Dandenong |
| 2018.05.25 | Geelong | 99 : 73 | Dandenong |
| 2016.06.18 | Geelong | 85 : 94 | Dandenong |
| 2016.04.30 | Dandenong | 87 : 85 | Geelong |
| 2015.08.29 | Geelong | 97 : 80 | Dandenong |
| 2015.07.25 | Geelong | 78 : 80 | Dandenong |
| 2015.05.09 | Dandenong | 79 : 101 | Geelong |