Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 14
CanberraHOME · -
71 : 782015.07.18 · 종료
BallaratAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.3%
VALUE EDGE+55.3%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
CanberraAnalysis MetricsBallarat
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
157.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
203.58
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
10.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Canberra
W · 92-83W · 83-80L · 96-79L · 74-61L · 71-72
Ballarat
L · 77-93L · 75-85W · 106-82L · 73-91W · 79-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.06.22 | Canberra | 71 : 102 | Ballarat |
| 2016.08.14 | Ballarat | 105 : 86 | Canberra |
| 2016.04.09 | Canberra | 100 : 105 | Ballarat |
| 2015.07.18 | Canberra | 71 : 78 | Ballarat |
| 2015.05.09 | Ballarat | 91 : 83 | Canberra |