Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

SEABL Australia · 14

NW TasmaniaHOME · -

115 : 732015.07.18 · 종료

BendigoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +57.4%

VALUE EDGE+57.4%

FAIR ODDS1.74

GRADEB

NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsBendigo

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-5.08 Point MarginHigher is better -1.92

169.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.08

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.4 / 15

Prediction separation6.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

57.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

NW Tasmania

L · 94-83W · 75-85L · 86-76W · 61-65W · 96-79

Bendigo

W · 56-78W · 69-76L · 75-85W · 85-90L · 86-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2018.07.07	Bendigo	79 : 73	NW Tasmania
2016.07.16	NW Tasmania	95 : 100	Bendigo
2016.04.17	Bendigo	94 : 80	NW Tasmania
2015.08.29	Bendigo	83 : 73	NW Tasmania
2015.07.18	NW Tasmania	115 : 73	Bendigo
2015.07.10	Bendigo	75 : 85	NW Tasmania