Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 14
Brisbane SpartansHOME · -
77 : 842015.07.18 · 종료
GeelongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.8%
VALUE EDGE+62.8%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEB
Brisbane SpartansAnalysis MetricsGeelong
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+1.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.67
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation11.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Brisbane Spartans
L · 67-60L · 109-71L · 83-80L · 94-83L · 92-86
Geelong
L · 69-76W · 77-93W · 86-76W · 94-63L · 73-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.01 | Geelong | 73 : 55 | Brisbane Spartans |
| 2015.07.18 | Brisbane Spartans | 77 : 84 | Geelong |