Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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SEABL Australia · 14

Mt GambierHOME · -

101 : 852015.07.17 · 종료

Southern SabresAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY18.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +81.3%

VALUE EDGE+81.3%

FAIR ODDS1.23

GRADEA

Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsSouthern Sabres

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-8.58 Point MarginHigher is better +2.17

184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 177.50

12.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

81.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

18.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mt Gambier

W · 109-71W · 86-72W · 73-91W · 73-94W · 75-89

Southern Sabres

L · 92-83L · 66-64L · 85-90L · 79-66L · 79-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2018.07.21	Southern Sabres	85 : 71	Mt Gambier
2016.07.22	Mt Gambier	106 : 57	Southern Sabres
2016.05.15	Southern Sabres	77 : 109	Mt Gambier
2015.07.17	Mt Gambier	101 : 85	Southern Sabres
2015.05.03	Southern Sabres	75 : 104	Mt Gambier