Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 13
GeelongHOME · -
69 : 762015.07.11 · 종료
BendigoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.6%
VALUE EDGE+64.6%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEB
GeelongAnalysis MetricsBendigo
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.92
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.08
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation12.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
W · 77-93W · 86-76W · 94-63L · 73-94L · 85-74
Bendigo
L · 75-85W · 85-90L · 86-72W · 92-74W · 85-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.07.14 | Geelong | 93 : 75 | Bendigo |
| 2018.06.29 | Bendigo | 75 : 88 | Geelong |
| 2016.07.01 | Geelong | 77 : 90 | Bendigo |
| 2015.07.11 | Geelong | 69 : 76 | Bendigo |