Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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SEABL Australia · 12

GeelongHOME · -

86 : 762015.07.05 · 종료

NW TasmaniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY32.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100

AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +67.4%

VALUE EDGE+67.4%

FAIR ODDS1.48

GRADEA

GeelongAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-2.00 Point MarginHigher is better -5.08

178.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.75

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 44.4%

7.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.9 / 15

Prediction separation14.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

67.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

32.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Geelong

W · 94-63L · 73-94L · 85-74W · 83-80L · 94-83

NW Tasmania

W · 61-65W · 96-79W · 86-78L · 109-82L · 76-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.05.25	Geelong	81 : 89	NW Tasmania
2023.05.13	NW Tasmania	72 : 98	Geelong
2018.07.28	Geelong	96 : 74	NW Tasmania
2018.05.05	NW Tasmania	96 : 78	Geelong
2016.08.06	Geelong	93 : 74	NW Tasmania
2016.07.23	NW Tasmania	72 : 104	Geelong
2015.07.05	Geelong	86 : 76	NW Tasmania
2015.04.18	NW Tasmania	81 : 75	Geelong