Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 11
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
96 : 792015.06.27 · 종료
CanberraAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.3%
VALUE EDGE+73.3%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEB
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsCanberra
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.50
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.17
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
W · 86-78L · 109-82L · 76-67L · 85-101L · 87-62
Canberra
L · 74-61L · 71-72L · 73-75W · 63-71L · 83-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.06.02 | Canberra | 66 : 67 | NW Tasmania |
| 2016.05.21 | NW Tasmania | 79 : 84 | Canberra |
| 2015.06.27 | NW Tasmania | 96 : 79 | Canberra |
| 2015.04.25 | Canberra | 82 : 81 | NW Tasmania |