Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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SEABL Australia · 11

Hobart ChargersHOME · -

74 : 612015.06.26 · 종료

CanberraAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY34.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +65.1%

VALUE EDGE+65.1%

FAIR ODDS1.54

GRADEA

Hobart ChargersAnalysis MetricsCanberra

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-11.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.50

190.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.17

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.2 / 15

Prediction separation13.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

65.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

34.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hobart Chargers

L · 55-62W · 73-75W · 77-84W · 83-69L · 83-81

Canberra

L · 71-72L · 73-75W · 63-71L · 83-80L · 87-104

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.09.11	Canberra	93 : 72	Hobart Chargers
2018.06.23	Canberra	77 : 111	Hobart Chargers
2016.05.20	Hobart Chargers	91 : 75	Canberra
2015.06.26	Hobart Chargers	74 : 61	Canberra
2015.06.13	Canberra	73 : 75	Hobart Chargers