Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 10
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
86 : 782015.06.20 · 종료
AlburyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.1%
VALUE EDGE+56.1%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEB
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsAlbury
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.50
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation5.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
L · 109-82L · 76-67L · 85-101L · 87-62W · 87-71
Albury
W · 55-62W · 85-74L · 89-82W · 99-89W · 97-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.04.21 | Albury | 89 : 71 | NW Tasmania |
| 2016.04.16 | Albury | 100 : 101 | NW Tasmania |
| 2015.06.20 | NW Tasmania | 86 : 78 | Albury |