Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 9
Southern SabresHOME · -
109 : 822015.06.14 · 종료
NW TasmaniaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.1%
VALUE EDGE+59.1%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
Southern SabresAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.08
177.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.75
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
44.4%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Southern Sabres
W · 80-93L · 86-85L · 88-93L · 75-104W · 88-101
NW Tasmania
L · 76-67L · 85-101L · 87-62W · 87-71W · 62-59
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.06.23 | Southern Sabres | 97 : 92 | NW Tasmania |
| 2018.04.27 | NW Tasmania | 93 : 78 | Southern Sabres |
| 2016.07.31 | Southern Sabres | 101 : 89 | NW Tasmania |
| 2016.04.02 | NW Tasmania | 83 : 73 | Southern Sabres |
| 2015.06.14 | Southern Sabres | 109 : 82 | NW Tasmania |
| 2015.04.11 | NW Tasmania | 72 : 76 | Southern Sabres |