Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

SEABL Australia · 9

CanberraHOME · -

73 : 752015.06.13 · 종료

Hobart ChargersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY45.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +54.2%

VALUE EDGE+54.2%

FAIR ODDS1.85

GRADEA

CanberraAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-2.50 Point MarginHigher is better -11.50

157.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 190.33

37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%

13.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.1 / 15

Prediction separation3.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

54.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

45.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Canberra

W · 63-71L · 83-80L · 87-104L · 88-93L · 91-83

Hobart Chargers

W · 77-84W · 83-69L · 83-81W · 68-61L · 62-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.09.11	Canberra	93 : 72	Hobart Chargers
2018.06.23	Canberra	77 : 111	Hobart Chargers
2016.05.20	Hobart Chargers	91 : 75	Canberra
2015.06.26	Hobart Chargers	74 : 61	Canberra
2015.06.13	Canberra	73 : 75	Hobart Chargers