Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

SEABL Australia · 8

GeelongHOME · -

83 : 802015.05.30 · 종료

CanberraAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY20.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +79.4%

VALUE EDGE+79.4%

FAIR ODDS1.26

GRADEB

GeelongAnalysis MetricsCanberra

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-2.00 Point MarginHigher is better -2.50

178.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.17

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

6.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

79.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

20.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Geelong

L · 94-83W · 88-93W · 91-78W · 79-101W · 81-90

Canberra

L · 87-104L · 88-93L · 91-83W · 86-84W · 82-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2018.07.20	Geelong	89 : 82	Canberra
2018.04.21	Canberra	81 : 107	Geelong
2016.04.24	Canberra	78 : 74	Geelong
2015.08.15	Canberra	76 : 78	Geelong
2015.05.30	Geelong	83 : 80	Canberra