Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 8
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
85 : 1012015.05.30 · 종료
BallaratAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.0%
VALUE EDGE+74.0%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsBallarat
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
203.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
L · 87-62W · 87-71W · 62-59W · 88-69W · 85-105
Ballarat
L · 83-69L · 90-101L · 99-89W · 91-83W · 115-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.26 | NW Tasmania | 98 : 95 | Ballarat |
| 2023.06.17 | Ballarat | 102 : 81 | NW Tasmania |
| 2023.04.22 | NW Tasmania | 84 : 94 | Ballarat |
| 2018.05.26 | NW Tasmania | 78 : 92 | Ballarat |
| 2018.04.22 | Ballarat | 79 : 75 | NW Tasmania |
| 2016.04.23 | NW Tasmania | 95 : 92 | Ballarat |
| 2015.05.30 | NW Tasmania | 85 : 101 | Ballarat |