Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 7
KilsythHOME · -
87 : 622015.05.24 · 종료
NW TasmaniaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.1%
VALUE EDGE+61.1%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
KilsythAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.08
180.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.75
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
44.4%
1.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.3 / 15
Prediction separation9.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kilsyth
L · 85-61L · 61-84L · 78-69L · 81-90W · 78-100
NW Tasmania
W · 87-71W · 62-59W · 88-69W · 85-105L · 82-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.19 | Kilsyth | 80 : 81 | NW Tasmania |
| 2023.06.18 | Kilsyth | 93 : 68 | NW Tasmania |
| 2018.04.07 | NW Tasmania | 72 : 70 | Kilsyth |
| 2016.07.09 | NW Tasmania | 85 : 78 | Kilsyth |
| 2016.06.26 | Kilsyth | 80 : 87 | NW Tasmania |
| 2015.08.22 | NW Tasmania | 86 : 69 | Kilsyth |
| 2015.08.08 | NW Tasmania | 78 : 89 | Kilsyth |
| 2015.05.24 | Kilsyth | 87 : 62 | NW Tasmania |