Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

SEABL Australia · 7

BallaratHOME · -

90 : 1012015.05.23 · 종료

DandenongAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY29.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100

AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +71.0%

VALUE EDGE+71.0%

FAIR ODDS1.41

GRADEA

BallaratAnalysis MetricsDandenong

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-8.58 Point MarginHigher is better -3.25

203.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.42

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage20.0 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

71.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

29.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ballarat

L · 99-89W · 91-83W · 115-80L · 91-88L · 78-100

Dandenong

L · 87-71L · 97-92L · 79-101W · 93-88L · 69-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.05	Dandenong	111 : 81	Ballarat
2024.07.27	Ballarat	91 : 78	Dandenong
2024.06.15	Ballarat	84 : 86	Dandenong
2023.04.29	Ballarat	97 : 88	Dandenong
2018.04.06	Ballarat	94 : 82	Dandenong
2016.05.14	Ballarat	94 : 92	Dandenong
2015.08.22	Dandenong	91 : 85	Ballarat
2015.08.02	Dandenong	80 : 97	Ballarat
2015.05.23	Ballarat	90 : 101	Dandenong