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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SEABL Australia · 6
Brisbane SpartansHOME · -
75 : 812015.05.16 · 종료
Mt GambierAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.7%
VALUE EDGE+61.7%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
Brisbane SpartansAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+1.75 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58
169.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.42
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Brisbane Spartans
L · 98-102L · 88-69L · 62-54W · 86-83W · 80-77
Mt Gambier
W · 78-70W · 75-104L · 93-88W · 77-60W · 82-57

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.07.10Mt Gambier109 : 71Brisbane Spartans
2015.05.16Brisbane Spartans75 : 81Mt Gambier