Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 6
Southern SabresHOME · -
88 : 932015.05.16 · 종료
GeelongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.4%
VALUE EDGE+79.4%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
Southern SabresAnalysis MetricsGeelong
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
177.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.67
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Southern Sabres
L · 75-104W · 88-101L · 64-72W · 72-76W · 61-64
Geelong
W · 91-78W · 79-101W · 81-90W · 96-87L · 81-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.05.19 | Southern Sabres | 96 : 97 | Geelong |
| 2016.06.19 | Southern Sabres | 89 : 76 | Geelong |
| 2016.05.27 | Geelong | 87 : 80 | Southern Sabres |
| 2015.05.16 | Southern Sabres | 88 : 93 | Geelong |