Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 5
BallaratHOME · -
91 : 832015.05.09 · 종료
CanberraAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.9%
VALUE EDGE+82.9%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEB
BallaratAnalysis MetricsCanberra
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.50
203.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.17
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat
W · 115-80L · 91-88L · 78-100L · 86-83W · 87-89
Canberra
W · 86-84W · 82-81L · 74-92W · 86-88L · 82-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.06.22 | Canberra | 71 : 102 | Ballarat |
| 2016.08.14 | Ballarat | 105 : 86 | Canberra |
| 2016.04.09 | Canberra | 100 : 105 | Ballarat |
| 2015.07.18 | Canberra | 71 : 78 | Ballarat |
| 2015.05.09 | Ballarat | 91 : 83 | Canberra |