Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 4
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
88 : 692015.05.02 · 종료
Brisbane SpartansAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.0%
VALUE EDGE+64.0%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEB
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsBrisbane Spartans
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.75
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.3 / 15
Prediction separation12.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
W · 85-105L · 82-81W · 81-75L · 72-76
Brisbane Spartans
L · 62-54W · 86-83W · 80-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.05.28 | NW Tasmania | 94 : 88 | Brisbane Spartans |
| 2016.05.14 | Brisbane Spartans | 99 : 83 | NW Tasmania |
| 2015.06.12 | Brisbane Spartans | 76 : 67 | NW Tasmania |
| 2015.05.02 | NW Tasmania | 88 : 69 | Brisbane Spartans |