Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 3
BallaratHOME · -
78 : 1002015.04.26 · 종료
KilsythAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.5%
VALUE EDGE+61.5%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
BallaratAnalysis MetricsKilsyth
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
203.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.00
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat
L · 86-83W · 87-89W · 85-75
Kilsyth
W · 88-66W · 91-69W · 64-72L · 80-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.02 | Kilsyth | 98 : 67 | Ballarat |
| 2024.05.12 | Kilsyth | 68 : 80 | Ballarat |
| 2023.06.24 | Kilsyth | 96 : 97 | Ballarat |
| 2018.06.30 | Ballarat | 89 : 104 | Kilsyth |
| 2016.07.23 | Kilsyth | 95 : 79 | Ballarat |
| 2015.04.26 | Ballarat | 78 : 100 | Kilsyth |