Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 3
GeelongHOME · -
96 : 872015.04.25 · 종료
AlburyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.1%
VALUE EDGE+62.1%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
GeelongAnalysis MetricsAlbury
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.50
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation10.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
L · 81-75W · 53-62L · 87-89
Albury
W · 79-84W · 81-72W · 97-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.05.26 | Albury | 76 : 93 | Geelong |
| 2016.08.20 | Geelong | 82 : 84 | Albury |
| 2016.05.21 | Geelong | 94 : 73 | Albury |
| 2016.05.07 | Albury | 94 : 97 | Geelong |
| 2015.09.05 | Albury | 84 : 78 | Geelong |
| 2015.08.22 | Albury | 88 : 83 | Geelong |
| 2015.06.13 | Albury | 85 : 74 | Geelong |
| 2015.04.25 | Geelong | 96 : 87 | Albury |