Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia · 3
CanberraHOME · -
82 : 812015.04.25 · 종료
NW TasmaniaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME28.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.0%
VALUE EDGE+72.0%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEB
CanberraAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.08
157.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.75
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
44.4%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Canberra
L · 74-92W · 86-88L · 82-57L · 97-57
NW Tasmania
W · 81-75L · 72-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.06.02 | Canberra | 66 : 67 | NW Tasmania |
| 2016.05.21 | NW Tasmania | 79 : 84 | Canberra |
| 2015.06.27 | NW Tasmania | 96 : 79 | Canberra |
| 2015.04.25 | Canberra | 82 : 81 | NW Tasmania |