Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

SEABL Australia · 2

Brisbane SpartansHOME · -

86 : 832015.04.18 · 종료

BallaratAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY49.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +50.4%

VALUE EDGE+50.4%

FAIR ODDS1.99

GRADEA

Brisbane SpartansAnalysis MetricsBallarat

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+1.75 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

169.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 203.58

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.7 / 15

Prediction separation0.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

50.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

49.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Brisbane Spartans

W · 80-77

Ballarat

W · 87-89W · 85-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2016.07.16	Brisbane Spartans	112 : 101	Ballarat
2016.05.01	Ballarat	80 : 94	Brisbane Spartans
2015.06.27	Ballarat	106 : 82	Brisbane Spartans
2015.04.18	Brisbane Spartans	86 : 83	Ballarat