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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SEABL Australia · 1
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
72 : 762015.04.11 · 종료
Southern SabresAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.2%
VALUE EDGE+55.2%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsSouthern Sabres
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-5.08 Point MarginHigher is better +2.17
169.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 177.50
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation4.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
Collecting Data
Southern Sabres
W · 61-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2018.06.23Southern Sabres97 : 92NW Tasmania
2018.04.27NW Tasmania93 : 78Southern Sabres
2016.07.31Southern Sabres101 : 89NW Tasmania
2016.04.02NW Tasmania83 : 73Southern Sabres
2015.06.14Southern Sabres109 : 82NW Tasmania
2015.04.11NW Tasmania72 : 76Southern Sabres