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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 West Women Australia
Willetton Tigers WHOME · -
74 : 732024.05.17 · 종료
Mandurah Magic WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.7%
VALUE EDGE+77.7%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
Willetton Tigers WAnalysis MetricsMandurah Magic W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-20.50 Point MarginHigher is better +13.17
163.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.67
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Willetton Tigers W
L · 97-79W · 86-63W · 77-68W · 71-104L · 56-95
Mandurah Magic W
W · 53-70L · 75-94L · 85-69L · 60-79W · 67-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.10Mandurah Magic W116 : 68Willetton Tigers W
2026.04.18Willetton Tigers W69 : 62Mandurah Magic W
2024.07.19Mandurah Magic W67 : 94Willetton Tigers W
2024.05.17Willetton Tigers W74 : 73Mandurah Magic W
2023.07.15Willetton Tigers W81 : 69Mandurah Magic W
2023.05.20Mandurah Magic W80 : 73Willetton Tigers W